India–US trade deal may be signed before July 24: What’s done and remaining for agreement

1782235731 india us trade deal


India–US trade deal may be signed before July 24: What’s done and remaining for agreement

India and the United States might just be a month away from finalising a trade deal! The two sides entered fresh rounds of negotiations after Washington held high-level trade discussions in New Delhi on Tuesday aimed at revisiting and recalibrating the proposed bilateral agreement, following recent changes in US tariff policy that disrupted the earlier negotiated framework.Commerce and industry minister Piyush Goyal met US trade representative Jamieson Greer as both sides pushed to finalise an interim trade pact ahead of July 24, when Washington’s temporary 10% tariff on imports from trading partners is set to lapse.In a post on X, Goyal said, “Warm welcome to Jamieson Greer, Sergio Gor and their delegation to department of commerce. Looking forward to productive discussions on the bilateral trade agreement between (India & US).”Greer is on a two-day visit that comes soon after Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump met on the sidelines of the G7 summit in France on June 17, a meeting that injected renewed momentum into ongoing trade negotiations.The US Embassy in India said in a social media post that the trade partnership would benefit both countries.“Stronger ties create American manufacturing jobs while supporting India’s growth as the world’s largest democracy. From energy security to tech talent exchanges, we’re building the future together,” it said.In another post, the embassy said, “@USTradeRep Jamieson Greer and Indian Minister of Commerce and Industry @PiyushGoyal met in New Delhi today to advance negotiations on the Interim Agreement launched by President Trump and Prime Minister Modi.”It added that the US is focused on securing a fair and reciprocal trade deal that expands market access for American exporters while delivering gains for both sides.

What is on the table

The discussions focused on reworking a framework agreement announced in February, which had been built on tariff commitments later affected by a US Supreme Court ruling that struck down sweeping tariffs announced by Trump.For India, securing preferential tariff treatment remains a key priority after changes in US tariff policy reduced an expected advantage over competing economies, including Vietnam and other ASEAN nations.Under the February framework, the US had agreed to lower tariffs on Indian goods to 18%, below rates applied to several competing exporters.India had also proposed reducing or eliminating tariffs on a range of US industrial and agricultural goods, including dried distillers’ grains, red sorghum for animal feed, tree nuts, fruits, soybean oil, wine and spirits, among others.India has also indicated plans for large-scale purchases from the US, including energy products, aircraft and parts, precious metals, technology goods, and coking coal over the next five years worth $500 billion.Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman also held a separate meeting in New Delhi with the US delegation led by Jamieson Greer.According to the finance ministry, both sides exchanged views on strengthening bilateral trade and economic cooperation, with a focus on new opportunities for growth and deeper commercial engagement.The meeting at Vanijya Bhawan, the commerce ministry headquarters, also included Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal and India’s chief negotiator Darpan Jain, sources said.It followed earlier chief negotiator-level talks held in New Delhi between June 2 and June 4.

Pending roadblocks

In February, both sides had outlined the contours of the first phase of the agreement, based on tariff assumptions that were later altered.On February 20, the US Supreme Court struck down sweeping tariffs. This led the US administration to impose a temporary 10% tariff under Section 122 of the Trade Act on all countries for 150 days starting February 24, which is due to expire on July 24.The February joint statement also includes a clause allowing either country to modify commitments if tariff conditions change.Meanwhile, the US launched two Section 301 investigations in March covering around 60 economies, including India, examining issues related to industrial capacity and labour practices in global supply chains.

Trade talks till now

On June 15, Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal said discussions were focused on finalising the framework deal.On June 17, US President Donald Trump said the two countries were “very close” to concluding the agreement.Earlier on June 5, Piyush Goyal said India and the US were moving towards closing all pending issues in the interim trade pact and expected to implement the first phase of the Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) by mid-next month.The BTA negotiations were formally launched on February 13, 2025.At the time the initial framework was agreed, India had a comparative advantage over several regional competitors, including ASEAN countries, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, and Bangladesh.The United States remained India’s second-largest trading partner in 2025-26.India’s exports to the US rose by 0.92% to $87.3 billion in the last fiscal year despite high tariffs, while imports increased by 15.95% to $52.9 billion, narrowing the trade surplus to $34.4 billion from $40.89 billion in the previous year.



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